A friend (aged 44 years), was fed up with his job. During a discussion, he said that he would retire and never work for anybody if he had enough money to take care of life’s needs. Some discussion followed. But when he was asked, “How much money do you need to retire today?”, he had no specific answer. Because he never thought that way.
If you have also not thought about it, you are not alone. Most people are the same. Most people are aware of the criticality of retirement savings and have put some money away for those golden years. But will that money be enough? If you think of retiring today, like my friend, will the money saved with you be enough for the remaining years?
While it is very difficult to accurately forecast your future spending, a good estimate can be made. This estimate will help us in knowing, how much money would be required for retiring today.
Here is a Four- Step Framework to calculate your retirement fund:
STEP-1: Estimate Your Current Expenses
If you have never done this, it may feel daunting. But it is a simple process. First, gather all your financial statements, such as bank account statements, and credit card statements for last month. Here you can see, where money is going. Now, look for your recurring monthly expenses, like house rent, house mortgage, food (grocery, fruits and vegetables), utilities (electricity, cooking gas, mobile, broadband, etc.), transportation (petrol/ diesel, public transport), kid’s school fee, etc. Remember, these expenses are necessary and you do them every month. These are kind of fixed expenses. For example, say your fixed expenses are INR 70,000 per month.
Then look for discretionary expenses. These are such expenses, which are not necessary for living, but to enjoy life. Such as dining out, coffee shop, shopping, etc. We can say that you have more control over these expenses, in terms of timing and amount of spend. Say these are INR 30,000 per month. Adding fixed and discretionary expenses will give you monthly expenses. So, in our example, it is INR 1,00,000 per month or INR 12,00,000 per year.
Now think about such non-recurring expenses that you do annually or semi-annually. Such as Life Insurance premiums, health insurance premiums, Car insurance premiums, annual maintenance for car etc. Say these are 60,000 per year. Add these to fixed and discretionary expenses. So, your total annual expenses are now INR 12,60,000.
STEP-2: Estimate your Retirement Corpus
Once you have your annual expenses, multiply that by 25 to arrive at a ballpark retirement corpus. As per our example, it will be INR 12,60,000 X 25 = INR 3,15,00,000.
STEP-3: Estimate your Once-in-a-life expenses
Think about once-in-a-lifetime expenses. These can be funds for higher education and then the marriage of your kids. Say you have 2 kids aged 12 and 10 years. Say you estimate higher education expenses of 20,00,000 per kid and marriage expenses of 25,00,000 per kid. That makes your total expenses of 90,00,000. Add this to your retirement corpus. Now your total retirement corpus becomes INR 4,05,00,000 or say INR 4,00,00,000 approx.
STEP-4: Estimating post-retirement monthly income
So, you have INR 4,00,00,000 with you and you decide to retire. Now invest this retirement corpus in such a way that 75% be invested in equity and 25% in debt. For equity investment, you may choose index funds and for debt, you may choose a mix of liquid funds, bank fixed deposits, and balance advantage funds. Our goal is to achieve at least a 10-11% annual return.
You can start withdrawing 4% annually of STEP-2 corpus of INR 3,15,00,000 i.e. INR 12,60,000 annually i.e. INR 1,05,000 per month.
Every year increase your monthly withdrawal by 5%. So, year 2 monthly withdrawal would be INR 1,15,500 and so on. With 4% withdrawal, your corpus will last at least 25 years (assuming no investment). If you can earn 12% on your investment, while facing inflation of 5-6%, your corpus will last your lifetime.
Conclusion
Using the above four-step framework, you can determine your Retirement Corpus or Financial Independence Corpus. If you find that you are currently not at the stage of Financial Independence, means you are not saving enough money to secure your retirement. Do your best to increase your savings and invest with a target in mind.
Therefore, someone having INR 1,00,000 per month monthly expenses can retire, if he has INR 4,00,00,000 retirement corpus today.
Financial independence means you do not have to work long hours in a stressful job. You can work in less stressful jobs that you may enjoy, even if these may pay less. By doing this you won’t feel like you are working. You can slow down in life and do things, that you have missed such as traveling or just taking an afternoon nap.
The information on this site is provided for discussion purposes only, and should not be misconstrued as investment advice. Under no circumstances does this information represent a recommendation to buy or sell securities.